Welcome to the Trade Confident Metric Suite, fully integrated with TradingView.
You can now follow the same live 13 on-chain TradingView charts used in our Future Forecasts. If you want the most accurate Bitcoin cycle top and bottom signals, monitoring the charts yourself is a must!
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P.S. Every purchase now includes the source codes to each metric, giving you the ability to set up alerts on each chart!
The Following Charts Are Available For Purchase:
Bitcoin Macro Liquidity Tide
This metric tracks Global M2, DXY, VIX, inflation, U.S. interest rates, the yield curve, and PMI to determine whether macroeconomic conditions are helping or hurting Bitcoin and other risk-on assets.
Green background: Economic tailwinds—crypto often rises.
Red background: Economic headwinds—crypto often falls.
Simple: “Are macro conditions signaling a good time to buy risk-on assets?”
Crypto/Bitcoin Cycle Projection
This metric uses historical cycle and on-chain metric data to project Bitcoin and Altcoins potential four-year path.
We use it to estimate cycle bottoms, accumulation periods, and market peaks for Bitcoin and major altcoins. Last cycle, it projected XRP’s approximate top and bottom timing four years in advance.
Purple background: Projected bear-market period
Green background: Projected cycle low and accumulation period
Red background: Projected cycle peak and distribution period
Simple: “Where could Bitcoin and altcoins be headed based on historical market cycles?”
Market Longs vs Shorts
This metric tracks data from the 10 largest exchanges and shows (based on our custom-tuned algorithm) whether most market participants are currently betting long or short. When most traders are long, the market often moves lower and squeezes them. When most traders are short, the market often moves higher. I use this metric to trade against the crowd, and this typically puts me on the right side of the trend.
This is also calibrated for a few Altcoins, but mainly we use it for Bitcoin on the 4hr chart.
Green background: More longs than shorts
Red background: More shorts than longs
Simple: “Are most market participants long or short right now?”
Market Oscillator
This metric shows the relationship of market risk relative to price action. I use it to adjust my positions during major pumps or drops or to evaluate new entry opportunities. Works on Crypto, Stocks, and Forex.
High green line = I'm looking for accumulation opportunities
Low red line = I'm looking for distribution opportunities
Simple: “Is the market in more of a prime accumulation or distribution phase”
Bitcoin Puell Multiple
This looks at miner revenue (how much money miners make from creating new Bitcoins each day) compared to its average over the past year.
High number = miners are making way more money than usual → could signal a market top (lots of selling pressure coming).
Low number = miners struggling → often a good time to buy (bottoms).
Simple: "Are miners printing money or barely surviving?"
Bitcoin Realized Price
The average price that all existing Bitcoins were last bought or moved at (not the current market price).
It’s like the "true cost basis" of everyone holding Bitcoin.
If current price > realized price → most people are in profit.
If below → many are underwater.
Simple: "What did people actually pay on average for their BTC?"
Bitcoin % Supply in Profit vs Loss
What percentage of all Bitcoins are currently worth more (profit) or less (loss) than when they last moved on the blockchain.
Near 100% in profit = bull market euphoria.
Lots in loss = fear, possible bottom.
Simple: "How many coin owners are happy vs. bag-holding right now?"
Bitcoin NUPL
Overall "paper" profit or loss across the entire Bitcoin market (market cap minus what everyone paid, divided by market cap).
Ranges from negative (everyone losing money) to very high positive (massive greed).
Simple: "If everyone cashed out today, would the market be celebrating or panicking?" Great for spotting tops and bottoms.
Bitcoin 52 Week Sharpe Ratio
Measures Bitcoin's return vs. risk (volatility) over the past year.
Higher = better returns for the wild swings you're taking.
Lower = you're getting lousy reward for all the stomach-churning ups and downs.
Simple: "Is Bitcoin worth the rollercoaster right now compared to the last year?" (Like a risk-adjusted grade for the investment.)
Bitcoin CVDD
Tracks old coins moving to new owners, weighted by how long they were held and at what dollar value.
It has historically nailed market bottoms very well.
Simple: "When long-time holders finally sell their ancient coins, it often marks the end of a crash."
Bitcoin Electrical Cost
Rough estimate of what it costs miners to produce one Bitcoin, mostly electricity.
Price rarely stays below this for long (miners shut off machines).
Simple: "The break-even line for miners—acts like a natural support floor for the price."
Bitcoin SOPR
When coins actually move (people sell/spend), are they selling at a profit or loss?
Above 1 = sellers mostly in profit.
Below 1 = sellers taking losses.
Simple: "Are people capitulating and selling at a loss or profit. Possibly the single greatest metric here to pinpoint market pivots and a high reward-to-risk ratio."
Bitcoin MVRV Z Score
Compares current market price to the "real" average purchase price, adjusted for how extreme it is historically.
Very high = extremely overvalued (sell zone).
Very low/negative = undervalued (buy zone).
Simple: "How far above or below 'fair value' is Bitcoin right now, statistically?" One of the best valuation tools.
Bitcoin Power Law
This is a long-term price prediction model that says Bitcoin’s price grows according to a mathematical “power law” relationship with time (not linearly or exponentially, but following a steady curve on a log-log chart).
PLEASE NOTE:
Please check your TradingView plan to see how many chart layouts and indicators your account allows you to save at once.
What you're paying for: These chart sells access to original visual design, composite signal logic, and analytical frameworks built by Trade Confident LLC. You are not paying for any underlying data, mathematical concepts, or third-party metrics.
Data: Certain metrics reference on-chain and financial data from providers including Glassnode, CoinMetrics, and TradingView Economics. Trade Confident LLC does not own or claim any rights to these data feeds. All data is accessed through TradingView's native platform partnerships.
Not Financial Advice: All indicators are educational tools only. Nothing here constitutes a recommendation to buy or sell any asset. Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile — always do your own research.
Intellectual Property: The Pine Script code, composite scoring systems, dashboards, and visual design are the original work of Trade Confident LLC and may not be copied, redistributed, or resold without written permission.
By accessing these charts you agree that you understand the distinction between Trade Confident LLC's original work and the underlying data sources, and that you accept sole responsibility for any trading decisions made using these tools.
Potential Limitations: Some of these metrics are built using third-party proxies from TradingView; if these go out of business or are removed, this could affect the indicators' visibility. Although unlikely, we can not control this, but we want you to know this could happen.
